Move The Rocks

Last week I wrote how important it is to have a plan for each day and to execute on that plan. Today I am writing about how to prioritize all of the tasks that you have or that you give yourself on any given day.

One Way of Prioritizing Your Daily Tasks

Rock, Pebbles and Sand

I am inspired by two articles: This one by Jari Roomer posted on Medium.com, and this one about the Rock, Pebbles and Sand theory that is currently popular in the blogosphere. Both have a similar message: that you need to prioritize based on what acts or tasks will be the most consequential toward achieving the most important goals that you have. These are the “rocks”. Move the rocks first, and make it a priority to move the rocks, because they are the largest and require the most thought and energy, but have the most impact. Once you have moved the rocks to where you need them to be, then you can turn your attention to the pebbles (somewhat easier to move but still lumpy), and then to the sand (fine particles that fill in the lumpy spots) if and when you have time. In his article, Roomer discusses the 80/20 rule, where 20% of your daily tasks result in 80% of the impact you desire. Like rocks.

Do the Biggest Task First

Another variation on this theme is to complete the biggest task first, when you are freshest of mind and have the most energy. I am a morning person so I like to work first on those tasks that require the most tasks or energy. Once I get those done, I feel like the remainder of the day will be easy relative to what I have already accomplished, and that if I don’t get much more done for that day, I can consider my day to have been at least a small success. For me, talking to people on the phone or in person doesn’t require as much energy as does just sitting there and thinking about writing or solving problems, so I tend to schedule my conversations (if I have a choice) for later in the day.

Allot a Finite Time

Roomer says one should go so far as to allot a specific amount of time for each task during the day. He refers to Parkinson’s Law, which is that work tends to expand to fit the time allotted to it. Setting a goal of 2 hours, for instance, to accomplish a task also is a way of taking control of the situation and not to let the event take control of you. When you have an in-person meeting or a call, you typically set a deadline for when it should end. Why not do the same thing for a task that you are working on? If you have an urgency to finish something, self-imposed or not because you have other things to do, then you may devote more mental or physical energy to that task and you may do a better job with it. Doing so may also allow you to pay attention to some of those pebbles and sand that otherwise you may not have time for.

Create Value

Roomer’s advice is, “The only thing that matters is the value you create.” He means Value in the broadest sense, not just building something that someone else will buy for a higher price. Think about everything you do in terms of creating value for yourself or others, and you will see what you do every day in a different light.

IMO

The “Rock, Pebbles and Sand” concept provides you with a good visual way to look at your tasks and to decide which are the most important. Roomer’s article is more specific as to how to prioritize. Both get to the same point, which is that some things are more important or more impactful than others and that you should prioritize those things so that you will feel a sense of accomplishment.

Check Your Beneficiaries

I was unfortunately reminded of this maxim recently. Make sure you check your account and asset beneficiaries with every life event, and at least once every year! You may say you don’t what happens after you die, but you really should want your money that you worked so hard to make or save or your life insurance proceeds that you paid for all of these years to go to the person that you intend for it to go to. It would be a shame if your wishes don’t happen.

Check Your Beneficiaries!

Life Event

Marriage, divorce, birth, and death are the most frequent life events. Things like beneficiary statements tend to fall through the cracks with a divorce because you are probably in a mindset to move forward and not to look back and deal with stuff during a bad part of your life. However, you could be talking lots of money, and if assets are not divided up by family court, and even if they are, it is very important to make sure you change your beneficiary statements after you divorce. Then, if you remarry, you will need to change them again if you want your new spouse to inherit your wealth. Have you had children or even grandchildren during the past year that you want to include in your estate? Make sure their names are included as alternate or sub-beneficiaries if you can do so.

Family Trust

Although it is not a “life event”, the formation of a family trust is of similar magnitude. Make sure your beneficiary statements reflect your new family trust, at least as the alternate beneficiary, since some accounts require the spouse to be the primary beneficiary. It may be worth it to obtain the spousal consent required and to make the family trust the primary beneficiary, especially if you and your spouse are the trustees of the family trust. Why do this? Because assets in a family trust will avoid probate, whereas assets not in a family trust may not avoid probate.

Beneficiary Statement Takes Precedence

You may say, “I have a Will that says my spouse inherits everything. Why should I change my beneficiary statements?” The answer to that is that beneficiary statements take precedence over a will for specific accounts. If you have life insurance, the insurer will pay the benefits directly to the named beneficiary, regardless of what the will says. A dirty little secret is that a will isn’t worth much if your accounts have named beneficiaries, which they likely do, and if you have a family trust. A will is more useful if you have or own assets in your own name free and clear and wish them to pass to a specific person, and even then they may need to go through probate.

How

How do you change a beneficiary? Simple. Go online to the home page of the bank, brokerage, insurance company, etc. where your account is. Likely there is a “Forms” tab. Find the Change of Beneficiary form, fill it out (make sure to include the account number), sign it, and send it in. While you are on the site, you can log into your account and hopefully it will tell you who the current beneficiary is.

IMO

I can speak from personal experience that these beneficiary designations fall through the cracks and need to be proactively updated more often than you probably do. If you don’t keep them updated and then you tragically pass away, it could leave a real mess for your loved ones to deal with at a time when they likely aren’t emotionally equipped to do so. Save them all a big headache and make sure your beneficiaries are correct and current while you are still alive.

Plan Each Day

This article on Medium.com proposes 5 steps that you should do each day to plan what you want to accomplish for that day. I agree with it wholeheartedly. In order to be successful, however you define your own success, you need to have a plan for each day and determine how and when you plan to accomplish your daily goals.

How Do I Plan Each Day?

Especially for People On Their Own

I believe a Daily Plan is especially important for those of us who are on their own, meaning those who don’t go to a steady job every working day. If you have a job and work for someone else, perhaps your day is planned for you and your only plan is to complete the tasks provided to you. However, if you are on your own in any capacity, Daily Planning is a must. If you are on your own, there will be many distractions that will be more fun or interesting than what you really need to accomplish on any given day. I speak from experience on this matter.

Sense of Accomplishment

Your goal every day should be that at the end of each day you will have accomplished part or all of what you set out to accomplish at the start of the day. If so, you should feel good about yourself. What if you get to the end of the day and you got done part of what you hoped to but not all of it, and you are angry with yourself for not getting it all done? Perhaps you have set too high of a goal for yourself. Maybe there isn’t enough time in the day for you to get done all that you desire. If so, for tomorrow and future days, set more realistic goals. You want to feel that you move the pile forward every day, even just a little bit, and you should give yourself a pat on the back for having done so, even if you perhaps moved that pile only 3 inches instead of the 6 inches you had hoped to.

IMO

What does all of this touchy-feely babble have to do with financial planning or investment management? Well, the second word in financial planning is “planning”. Whether you plan for your entire financial life and well being or whether you plan just for what you hope to accomplish today, the planning element is an essential part of the process. Both Ben Franklin and John Wooden, the Wizard of Westwood, said some version of, “Failing to plan is planning to fail.” Essential advice from two different American sages!

Where Are We Now?

In my last blog post I wrote about Howard Marks’ book, “Mastering the Market Cycle”. Howard Marks is the legendary investor who has led Oak Tree Capital Management for years. One of my critiques of the book was that Marks didn’t lay out a case for where we are now, in his opinion, though I noted that such was not the purpose of the book. This post will spell out where I think we are now.

Good Question!

Roller Coaster

I wrote that I like a roller coaster analogy better than Marks’ pendulum analogy. I believe that we are still in the “heading upward” part of the economic roller coaster. Others have said we are in the “late innings” of a rally that started 10 years ago. I don’t like the “innings” analogy because it implies that the game will soon end. I believe the economy still has room to run. GDP growth in the US has accelerated from the 2%-range to the 3% range. Unemployment has declined to 3.6%. Wages are up, albeit less than some may like. The 10-Year US Treasury Bond is in the 2.5%-range, which is not high enough to choke off borrowing. Such statistics are not indicative of a looming recession. The stock market is a leading indicator, and while it has its wobbles (mostly due to uncertainty related to world trade), it has touched record highs recently. Investors do not believe we are soon headed to recession, or else they wouldn’t be buying. Could things change? Of course, but the statistics are strong. Some investors will always believe we have had too much of a good thing and so they will sell at the first indication of trouble ahead. Howard Marks believes you can be a cautious buyer during an upswing such as I believe we are on now, and I agree.

Debt Bomb

Marks writes that, for every downturn, you can usually look back in time and see some sort of debt bubble. For instance, the last recession we had was caused by the subprime loan crisis. Now we have an emerging issue with student loans as default rates have risen. Not to downplay it, but the student loan bubble has been known for years. It will not sneak up on us like the subprime crisis did. $1.5 Trillion of outstanding student debt is a lot, but it pales in comparison with the $22 Trillion of US Government debt, plus the unknown Trillions of dollars of state and local government debt. Government debt is, I believe, the debt bomb that could sink us all. No country has ever been $22 Trillion in debt, so we don’t know what would happen if problems occur. So far, so good. Some cities have declared bankruptcy, but municipal bankruptcies have declined during the last 5 years. Some states don’t look particularly good (Illinois), and their debt has been downgraded. If and when the stock market crashes, I believe we will look back and point to growing government debt as having been the spark that lit the flame.

Demographics

The other macro issue that has been written about (but not enough in my opinion) is aging and declining demographics. Other developed countries such as in Western Europe and Japan are really having trouble growing because their replacement birth rates are well below the 2.0 that is needed to sustain their own populations. The US is somewhat better off at 1.8 and is at about 2.0 when you factor in in-migration. It is very difficult to grow an economy more than 2% when your population isn’t growing. Speaking of government indebtedness, it is increasing difficult to fund Social Security and Medicare and other government programs that rely on younger people effectively paying for older people when there aren’t enough younger people paying into the system.

IMO

I believe we are still upward trending and we should all look to buy cautiously. Make sure your portfolios are diversified among asset classes, and certainly that you don’t have too much of your net worth tied up in the stock of one or just a few individual companies. The icebergs on the horizon aren’t stuff like trade with China or a 10 Year Treasury Note at a rate in excess of 3%. Instead, we should be watching to make sure our Federal, State and Local governments are still able to services their debts and that they (hopefully) don’t add too much to their already choking level of debt. We should also keep an eye peeled for even more declines in our birth rates as well as the ability to keep Social Security and Medicare solvent.

Pendulum

I just finished reading “Mastering the Market Cycle” by Howard Marks, the legendary head of Oaktree Capital Management. I have had the pleasure of hearing Howard speak in person a couple of times, and he is very engaging and funny. Howard comes from the University of Chicago, the same school as Milton Friedman, so Howard’s economics are relatively supply-side and “conservative”.

Howard Marks

Pendulum

One of Howard’s core theses in the book is that markets move in a pendulum. Too much pessimism begets opportunities, which leads to buying and stock market rallies, which eventually leads to irrational exuberance, which leads to selloffs and stock market corrections, so we end back with too much pessimism. Back in the trough where we started, but maybe a little higher than above because the economy usually has positive growth. Here is a photo of a graph of Howard’s pendulum that I drew myself (isn’t it lovely?:

Pendulum or Roller Coaster?

I agree with Howard that markets run in cycles, and that pessimism can be overdone which can lead to great investing opportunities. However, I take issue with the pendulum analogy. A pendulum implies that the forward and backward movement in markets is even, that it takes as long for a bull market as it does for a correction. History doesn’t back this up. Bull markets can take years or even decades; we are currently in a bull market that started in March 2009. Corrections, instead, are a short, sharp shock. Even the 40%-50% correction of the Great Recession occurred over only about 2 years from 2007 to early 2009,. Stocks take the stairs up and the elevator down. Now, the thrill with a roller coaster ride is on the way down. That’s not so with the stock market, so I will give you that flaw in my analogy. Also, on a roller coaster ride, you usually disembark at the same place where you got on, and that’s not the case with the stock market. However, the pendulum analogy also implies an even arc, which Howard also doesn’t imply. So neither analogy is perfect, but I like the roller coaster better because market corrections are much more violent than are bull markets.

Not a Straight Line

Another problem with both the pendulum and roller coaster analogies is that both imply that the way up and the way down are either straight lines or parabolic arcs that one can easily discern. The reality is much different. As we all know, the market wants to deke and head fake us every millisecond. Instead of a straight or parabolic line, the more accurate representation is that of a Richter Scale readout, such as this:

Inflection Point

Because of the market volatility that represents like a Richter Scale readout, it is very difficult at any given time to figure out where we are within the cycle. If it was easy, then there wouldn’t be any discussion among the Federal Reserve Bank board members about what to do about interest rates. More than that, we would all be millionaires. However, I agree with Howard’s point that fortunes are made at the inflection points, where bear markets turn to bulls and vice versa, along with the intestinal fortitude to invest contrary to then-prevailing market conditions. Another investing legend, Paul Tudor Jones of Tudor Investment Corporation, says the same thing.

The difficulty is that we aren’t at an inflection point on either side. At any given time, it is much, much more likely that we are in the middle of a bull market or, less likely, in the middle of a correction. What does Howard Marks say you should do then? During an upswing, he says, go ahead and buy, but be very cautious. During a downswing, look for an opportunity to buy, and don’t worry so much about buying at the very bottom. At every circumstance, Howard says, the decision should be whether the price you are paying is more or less than the intrinsic value of what you are buying. If you think you are getting a bargain, then buy it, no matter the market conditions. The market will eventually come around to your evaluation. This also takes intestinal fortitude, and it is much easier said than done.

IMO

Howard doesn’t tell us where he thinks we are right now – are we in a bull market, or has the bull run its course and so we are at an inflection point? That is not the objective of “Mastering the Market Cycle”. However, I have some thoughts on this that I will spell out in my next blog posting.

Venezuela

As of April 30, there is film and there are reports of insurrection and protests in the streets in Venezuela. Guaido, the man who would be President and who is supported by the US and many other nations, is exhorting Venezuelans to take to the streets to overthrow the incumbent Maduro government. Guaido is also seeking support of the Venezuelan military.

Pessimistic

I expect Guaido’s efforts not to succeed and for him to be arrested. I expect that the socialist/communist Maduro government to survive and retain control. I expect the Venezuelan economy to continue to fail and for its people to continue to be repressed. I am pessimistic because Maduro is backed by many bad actors, including Cuba, Russia, and Iran, who won’t hesitate to use force including ground troops to keep their puppet Maduro in power there. Unless the US is willing to match force with force and for the US government to withstand being put down as an imperialist power bent on war, never mind that the Cubas, Russias, and Irans are also bent on war, then our man Guaido will be the loser along with the Venezuelan people and Maduro will remain.

Refugees

In February 2019, the United Nations estimated that about 3 million Venezuelans, or about 10% of its pre-strife population of 30 million, had fled the country. Many more have left since then, and many more will flee as this unrest and repression continue. Most are fleeing to other South American or Spanish-speaking countries, with neighboring Colombia the destination of the most refugees. The US must and is helping these refugees at their destinations. This is in contrast to Venezuela and the Maduro government itself which has turned away humanitarian aid because the acceptance of such would indicate that their socio-economic experiment has failed.

Lesson

There is no investment or financial planning lesson to be learned here, other than to avoid going to Venezuela and to avoid owning its currency. Venezuela is an OPEC member and has vast oil reserves which are not being produced, which is resulting in somewhat higher world oil prices. Venezuela will not get its oil production back on line any time soon so don’t look for a drop in prices just yet.

The lesson here is with Socialism. Maduro and his predecessor Chavez have implemented Socialism and Socialist economic concepts properly. We are all seeing what happens to an economy and to a people when Socialism is applied. Socialism sounds like a great economic theory to the academics who tout it and to the bleeding heart, guilt-ridden, and revengeful populace who want to tear down those who have been successful above them. Power to the people, right? Now we have some politicians here in the USA who believe Socialism is the right way to go here because they know a better way to make it happen. I implore you all to look at what is happening in Venezuela and understand that something like that can happen here in the US if we accept as a whole that Socialism is the way to go. Socialism has resulted in the deaths of millions upon millions of people over the past 100+ years. Socialism has resulted in miserable economic conditions every time it has been tried. Don’t let it happen here in the land of freedom and free enterprise, the USA!

Apple Earnings

Analysts and media talking heads often act ambivalent, nonplussed or even disappointed when Apple reports its quarterly earnings. Such as, “Apple reported 2nd Quarter 2019 revenue of $58 billion, which was down 5% from the same quarter last year but in line with expectations.” Ho-hum, their revenues were less than last year’s same quarter, which is something we expected. And, la-di-da, their profits for the quarter were $11.6 billion, also about what we expected.

Admire It In Awe

Instead, let’s take a step back and just admire Apple’s revenue and earnings. $58 billion of revenue and $11.6 billion of earnings during the quarter after Christmas? That is incredible! It doesn’t seem that the iPhone era is dying out any time soon. Even absent any new blockbuster products since the iPhone in 2007, Tim Cook and Apple have been able to produce and execute and create a profit machine that is without parallel.

Future Cash Uses

Investors seem happiest about Apple’s announcement as part of their earnings report that they intend to allocate $75 billion of their cash hoard in order to boost dividends and stock buybacks. Apple had over $80 billion of cash and short term investments on its balance sheet as of 12/31/18, and with the cash they generate through product sales, Apple should have no problem achieving the $75 billion dividend/buyback goal. This move also shows that Apple is maturing as a company, although it may also show they are having difficulty developing new products. This bears watching next quarter and beyond.

Shareholders

Shareholders seem to agree with my outlook rather than that of the naysayers in the peanut gallery. Apple’s stock rose from about $200 prior to the earnings report to about $210, an increase of about 5%. Shareholders appear to see a rosy, highly profitable future with Apple. The iPhone era may be slowly fading, as some in the media say, but it isn’t gone yet and it has a long, highly profitable remaining life.

5G

I own an iPhone (also a MacBook Pro), and I have recently noticed that my iPhone sometimes is receiving 5G mobile internet signals since I live in a densely populated area. That’s nice, but my phone isn’t a 5G phone, so while it may be getting a 5G signal, my phone isn’t able to take advantage of the speed that 5G offers. As 5G continues to roll out, guess what? Anyone who wants to completely take advantage of 5G service will have to buy a 5G phone. Reports are Apple will begin to offer 5G-capable phones sometime in 2020. I like what 5G offers, and I like the concept of Apple customers trading in their current phones, even the latest Generation X phones, for 5G-capable phones. Another potential future mother lode of cash for Apple.

IMO

Kudos and congratulations to Apple and its management for this tremendous achievement! Though you may disappoint the analysts who follow you as well as some in the financial media, most people love your products and are very proud and excited for you.

FIRE

There is a growing movement among Gen X and Millennial folks toward FIRE, which is Financial Independence, Retire Early. This article posted on Medium is typical. Those who are really into FIRE and write about it think they have discovered something new, which is in keeping with that generation. I will summarize (and possibly embellish) some of their discoveries:

  • Save much more than your net take-home, perhaps as much as 50%.
  • Pay off debt before starting to save.
  • Track your expenses and create a budget and live by it.
  • Work a side job if you don’t make enough in your primary job.
  • Don’t try to keep up with the Jones’ lifestyle.
  • Maximize your 401k/IRA contributions.
  • Minimize investment fees/commissions – Use Vanguard and/or ETFs.
  • Don’t time the market.
  • Keep up your financial fluency.
  • Clip coupons and shop the grocery sales. Drink only Natty Light or Two Buck Chuck. Don’t go to restaurants. Especially, don’t go to Starbucks. Sell your car and take the bus.

Perhaps my last bullet point is an exaggeration, but the general idea is true.

Does FIRE Fit You?

We probably all know people for whom this type of frugal lifestyle works. However, it may not fit you or your personality. Do you see yourself clipping coupons or cooking every meal for yourself? It typically requires that you spend money in order to enjoy an active social life. Are you at a point in your life when you are ambivalent about your social life? If you look at what it takes to live a frugal life, or you see frugal acquaintances and decide you can’t be like them, should you feel guilty or defeated because you can’t live up to the FIRE ideals?

Compromise With Yourself

If you try to make yourself do something or live a certain way because you are “supposed to”, but you don’t personally 100% commit to it, then your quest for FIRE will fail. That said, there is a point to living within your means. You need to find that point that makes you comfortable and satisfies your own desires. Every person’s comfort zone will be different. Give yourself credit for small victories. For instance, if you make it through a month not spending as much as you took home, celebrate by going to the store and buying whatever beer is on sale (not Natty Light) and drinking it. A cheap celebration, perhaps, but well-earned. Develop a plan that works for you and run with it, and don’t get down on yourself if your plan involves spending more than the FIRE advocates say you should or that your frugal friend does.

Pay Off Debt

In my opinion, the single best FIRE advice from my bullet point list above is to pay off your debts, especially your credit card, personal, or student loan debt, as soon as possible. Once you rid yourself of these debt burdens, you will be free to spend that money in ways that will make you happier and more comfortable. It takes a lot of discipline to pay off debt and you should certainly reward yourself if and when you are successful in doing so. A number of the other points such as not eating out and avoiding daily expenses such as Starbucks that add up over time are good but can be done in moderation and don’t require the discipline that paying off debt requires. Instead of every day latte’s, maybe only twice per week? That level of cutting might make the process more digestible for you.

IMO

I don’t consider myself a frugal person, and I couldn’t live the way people who I consider to be frugal actually live. However, I do “shop” for things I want or need and I do like to cook, so that gives me a leg up on those who don’t cook and go out every night. I believe I (and my family) do a good job of being value-conscious with our spending. I also believe I am disciplined, which is a trait I have learned over time through experience. FIRE, or anything approaching FIRE, requires personal discipline, and you can become more disciplined if you really want or need to.

Unexpected Passing

I have been writing and making blog posts every Tuesday and Friday for the past 2 years. This past Tuesday was the first time I failed to make a post during that time. I didn’t post because Tuesday was my sister’s funeral. My sister Mary Anne tragically passed away at age 54. She had Lupus, which compromised her immune system. When she got sick about 6 months ago, her body couldn’t fight the infection because of the Lupus, and so the infection spread to her bloodstream and her heart and heart valves. She developed Endocarditis, which caused her infected heart valves to spew blood clots throughout her body including her abdomen and her brain. When the Endocarditis and clots were finally diagnosed, her sickness was effectively too far gone and the doctors were unable to cure her. She leaves a husband and two daughters. It is incredibly sad.

Plan For The Unthinkable

There are many thoughts I have about a person, a wife, a mother, who leaves us unexpectedly and much too young. My thoughts are all about planning for something that you think won’t happen soon but absolutely will happen at some point. If you are still young, by which I mean under 80 years old, you really need to think about and discuss with your family or friends what you want or need if something unexpected occurs. Here are some of the top things to discuss and/or do:

  • What do you want to have happen to you? Do you want your body to be buried in the traditional way? Or do you want to be cremated? If you want cremation, do you want your cremains kept in one place or spread in a special place somewhere? Keep in mind it might be illegal to be spread in your favorite special place. Most cemeteries will accept cremains and will allow them to be buried. Cremation is also the less expensive option by a significant amount.
  • Keep Your Papers and Records Organized: Make sure the appropriate people know where your account statements and papers are kept and make sure they are labeled and organized. Think about what would happen if they are not organized: Your decedents may lose out on money that you have worked hard to save.
  • Account Passwords: Keep a record of your online account passwords and make sure other people know where the passwords are. This is incredibly important. Also, if you are married, make sure your spouse is also on the title to your account – there are a lot of married people who still keep separate accounts for whatever reason. In the same vein, make sure someone else knows how to use 2-factor authentication if you have that set up on your accounts. If the 2nd factor is through face recognition on your cell phone, I don’t know what to tell you other than to have an alternative to face recognition.
  • Life Insurance: Make sure your beneficiaries are correct in your life insurance. If you haven’t made changes to beneficiaries in the 20 years since you bought the insurance policy, that may be okay, but at least take a look at it. Perhaps the kids have grown up and have their own families, or perhaps some other event has intervened that necessitates changes.
  • Medical Wishes: If you are in the hospital, doctors will continue to perform procedures in an effort to save you until you or, more likely, your medical proxy, tell the doctors to desist. The most significant lines to cross seem to be breathing tube and chest compressions. The hospital will likely want a medical proxy – someone who is authorized to make medical decisions for you – available. If that person is not your spouse, discuss beforehand who it should be and what you want.
  • Will: Having a will is important especially if you are unmarried or you are a surviving spouse because it may not be clear who your heirs are. Having a will doesn’t necessarily avoid the probate process, but having your assets in a trust does avoid probate for those assets. This is especially important for homes and bank and investment accounts. You don’t really need an attorney to do a will – you can do it online through sites such as LegalZoom.com.

IMO

It is extremely important to think about the unthinkable even and especially when you are young and in the best of health. Next, it is important to communicate those plans with someone (spouse or close relative or friend) so that they can execute your plans. Planning while you are alive and healthy will help your decedents avoid a lot pain if something unexpected happens, pain that they don’t need because they are already in pain due to your plight.

Track Before You Budget

You know you should create a budget for your expenditures but you don’t know where to start and you don’t want to be hemmed in by your own budget. What should you do? Start the process by tracking your expenditures. After all, before you can do a budget, you need to know what you are spending your money on. Once you know your present (track your expenditures), you can plan for your future (create your budget).

Expense Tracker Spreadsheet

How?

There are several ways you can track your expenditures. All of them require diligence on your part.

  • Excel Spreadsheet: This works best if, as most people do, you pay for stuff by several means – cash, checks, credit/debit card. Pay for something (Starbucks, groceries, restaurant, whatever), take a receipt and put it in your pocket, then input it into your spreadsheet every evening. You must be diligent and input every little expense including the $3 coffee because they all add up. If you skip an expense, you are cheating yourself. You can create your own spreadsheet or download a template by Googling “expense tracker template”. The advantage of creating your own spreadsheet is that you can categorize your expenses the way you want and that befits your lifestyle. Make it yours. Don’t use Excel? Instead, use the free Google Sheets. If you are literate with spreadsheets, you can create graphs and charts that may help you understand what you are spending money on.
  • Quicken/Quickbooks: This is similar to an Excel spreadsheet but with the categories already sorted and in a canned format. If you already use Quicken/Quickbooks, it is likely linked to your checking and/or credit card accounts, which means that you will still need to manually input all of your cash expenses, which means you still need to take receipts for what you pay cash for.
  • Use Only One Account: Are you a Millennial and you don’t use cash? Are you disciplined enough not to use your credit card and instead only use your debit card? Then you might get away with using your monthly account statement as a de facto expense tracker. However, it is really difficult to run all of your expenses through just one account. Think about accounts that you might have set up to auto-pay through your credit card, for instance.

Added Advantage of Tracking

Just by tracking your expenses you will take the first step toward limiting what you spend. If someone is watching what you are spending, i.e., yourself, you might think twice before deciding to buy something, or you might have buyer’s remorse and decide you don’t need to spend for that item again. Do I really need to buy coffee every day, or can I save money and make it at home instead? Can I limit my restaurant expenses by getting food to-go from the grocery store deli (although that can be costly as well)? All of these things add up and just the notion that you are tracking yourself might spur you to keep a lid on what you spend.

IMO

It’s not earth-shattering advice to propose that you track your expenses, but it is an important first step and it requires that you have discipline to do it. You may not want to take the next step and create a budget for yourself but if you keep tracking yourself at least you know what you are spending money on, and that is a good part of the battle to live within your means,.